It's been2months since the last "AI will replace programmers" claim.

Active Countdowns

Emad Mostaque

Stability AI

"There will be no programmers in the next five years."

July 202328 months remaining

Matt Garman

AWS

"If you go forward 24 months from now, or some amount of time — I can't exactly predict where it is — it's possible that most developers are not coding,"

August 20245 months remaining

The Graveyard

Dario Amodei

Anthropic

EXPIRED

"I think we will be there in three to six months, where AI is writing 90% of the code. And then, in 12 months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code,"

March 2025Missed by 6 months

All Historical Claims

Dario Amodei

Anthropic

Statement

"AI could cause significant and potentially painful disruption to jobs."

January 2026

Jensen Huang

NVIDIA

Statement

"I want you to stop coding and start thinking."

January 2026

Dario Amodei

Anthropic

Graveyard

"I think we will be there in three to six months, where AI is writing 90% of the code. And then, in 12 months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code,"

March 2025

Satya Nadella

Microsoft

Statement

"Around 20% to 30% of code in some repositories is AI-generated."

January 2025

Sundar Pichai

Google

Statement

"More than 25% of new code at Google is generated by AI."

October 2024

Matt Garman

AWS

Active

"If you go forward 24 months from now, or some amount of time — I can't exactly predict where it is — it's possible that most developers are not coding,"

August 2024

Jensen Huang

NVIDIA

Statement

"It is our job to create computing technology such that nobody has to program, and the programming language is human."

February 2024

Emad Mostaque

Stability AI

Active

"There will be no programmers in the next five years."

July 2023