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It's been2months since the last "AI will replace programmers" claim.You think the data is wrong? File an issue here!

Latest claim by Jensen Huang (NVIDIA)

"I think we've achieved AGI."

Active Countdowns

Emad Mostaque

Stability AI

"There will be no programmers in the next five years."

July 202325 months remaining

Matt Garman

AWS

"If you go forward 24 months from now, or some amount of time — I can't exactly predict where it is — it's possible that most developers are not coding,"

August 20242 months remaining

Elon Musk

Tesla / xAI

"I think actually things will move, maybe even by the end of this year, to where you don't even bother doing coding, the AI just creates the binary directly... "

February 20266 months remaining

The Graveyard

Dario Amodei

Anthropic

EXPIRED

"I think we will be there in three to six months, where AI is writing 90% of the code. And then, in 12 months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code,"

March 2025Missed by 8 months

All Historical Claims

Jensen Huang

NVIDIA

Statement

"I think we've achieved AGI."

March 2026

Jensen Huang

NVIDIA

Statement

"If that $500,000 engineer did not consume at least $250,000 worth of tokens, I am going to be deeply alarmed. This is no different than a chip designer who says 'I'm just going to use paper and pencil. I don't think I'm going to need any CAD tools.'"

March 2026

Elon Musk

Tesla / xAI

Active

"I think actually things will move, maybe even by the end of this year, to where you don't even bother doing coding, the AI just creates the binary directly... "

February 2026

Jensen Huang

NVIDIA

Statement

"I want you to stop coding and start thinking."

January 2026

Dario Amodei

Anthropic

Statement

"AI could cause significant and potentially painful disruption to jobs."

January 2026

Dario Amodei

Anthropic

Graveyard

"I think we will be there in three to six months, where AI is writing 90% of the code. And then, in 12 months, we may be in a world where AI is writing essentially all of the code,"

March 2025

Satya Nadella

Microsoft

Statement

"Around 20% to 30% of code in some repositories is AI-generated."

January 2025

Sundar Pichai

Google

Statement

"More than 25% of new code at Google is generated by AI."

October 2024

Matt Garman

AWS

Active

"If you go forward 24 months from now, or some amount of time — I can't exactly predict where it is — it's possible that most developers are not coding,"

August 2024

Jensen Huang

NVIDIA

Statement

"It is our job to create computing technology such that nobody has to program, and the programming language is human."

February 2024

Emad Mostaque

Stability AI

Active

"There will be no programmers in the next five years."

July 2023